Scientists at the GFZ German Research Center in Potsdam, Germany, have developed a computer model which they say boosts the accuracy of volcanic eruption prediction.
The model was based on the latest physical understanding of the behavior of magma, its probable path of least resistance, and statistical data compiled from earlier eruptions.
The model's application to historical data on a caldera in Italy allowed the researchers to correctly predict the site of historical vents that were not used to refine the model.
GFZ's Eleonora Rivalta said, "If our method works well on other volcanoes too, it may help planning land usage in volcanic areas and forecasting the location of future eruptions with a higher certainty than previously possible."
From BBC Science Focus
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