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Coning In: New Ways to Tap Old Data Boost Hurricane Forecast Accuracy

Error cone

Also called error cones, they arise because forecasts become less precise the further in the future they attempt to project; image here shows the cone of uncertainty for post-tropical cyclone Debby late last month.

Credit: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Despite advances in weather prediction technology, meteorologists must still qualify any hurricane forecasts with a "cone of uncertainty," which depicts just how far the center of a storm might deviate from its projected track.

From Scientific American
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