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Coning In: New Ways to Tap Old Data Boost Hurricane Forecast Accuracy


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Error cone

Also called error cones, they arise because forecasts become less precise the further in the future they attempt to project; image here shows the cone of uncertainty for post-tropical cyclone Debby late last month.

Credit: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Despite advances in weather prediction technology, meteorologists must still qualify any hurricane forecasts with a "cone of uncertainty," which depicts just how far the center of a storm might deviate from its projected track.

From Scientific American
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