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Communications of the ACM

Letters to the Editor

When Predicting, Start With Humility


Letters to the Editor

Credit: iStockPhoto.com

In "Don't Feel Bad If You Can't Predict the Future," Peter J. Denning wrote: "Make sure your models are validated and that their assumed recurrences fit the world you are forecasting. Ground your speculations in observable data . . ." Hmm. Who validates the models?

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