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ACM TechNews
Using Computer Models to Predict War
![[article image]](/system/assets/0000/0998/062909_History_De_Mesquita.large.jpg?1246296195&1246296194 "New York University Professor Bruce Bueno de Mesquita")
New York University Professor Bruce Bueno de Mesquita
Credit: history.com
New York University professor Bruce Bueno de Mesquita has developed a computer model that can forecast the outcomes of international conflicts, and the U.S. Defense Department has found the model very useful. De Mesquita says the model begins by assuming that everyone is interested in two dimensions on any policy issue — getting the outcome as close to what they desire as possible, and getting credited as playing an essential role in reaching or thwarting an agreement. "The mode...
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